Blog Post

Seven years after the Paris Climate Agreement: How action-focused are NDCs to transform food and land use systems?

FELD Action Tracker team • Nov 30, 2022

Conclusions from the 2022 update of the SDSN-led FELD Action Tracker, assessing Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) on behalf of the Food and Land Use Coalition (FOLU)

When COP26 ended in Glasgow one year ago, it was clear to everyone: in spite of progress, what countries had committed to in terms of climate action for the ongoing decade to 2030 fell far short of what was needed. The Glasgow Climate Pact therefore called for all parties to revisit their NDCs and 2030 targets, to make sure they aligned with the Paris target of limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius. Some countries have indeed done so, as recently as last week, but much fewer than expected and needed; in fact, most of the high-emitting countries whose action matters most to significantly reduce emissions and turn around trends, have not… 

  • Only a third of NDCs back their commitments with concrete policy measures related to food and land use;
  • Fewer than half of the NDCs provide some form of targets for these sectors, and only four of them include specific targets for emission reductions;
  • Only one in five NDCs includes financial information regarding the tentative costs, budget requirements, and sources of funding of proposed policy actions of food and land use; and
  • Fewer than half of the NDCs specify countries’ needs for technology development, transfer, and capacity building to achieve meaningful food and land use transformation.


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Why tracking action on food and land use? 


In the run up to COP27 in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt, the SDSN-based FELD team updated its analysis of NDCs undertaken for the FOLU Coalition a year earlier, to provide policymakers at global level and in countries with a fresh snapshot and critical assessment of NDC commitments as they relate to food and land use. After all, taken together human activities related to agriculture and other aspects of food production, forestry, oceans and other land use generate up to one third of all human-made greenhouse gas emissions. Government action on climate change - while picking up significantly in energy, transport and a few other (sub) sectors - has so far not adequately addressed food and land-related emissions, as confirmed in FELD’s 2021 analysis


One year later, the discussions have moved on and food systems at the just-concluded COP27 were confirmed at the center of the climate agenda, emphasizing both the urgency for mitigation and adaptation action across all sectors. But do we see this shift also reflected in NDCs? 


FELD’s updated analysis, summarized in the 2022 Update brief issued by the FOLU Coalition during COP27, expanded to now 24 NDCs (up from previously 15) including all G20 countries and additional developing countries from across Asia, Africa and South America. Together, these NDCs represent 80% of global GHG emissions. The analysis applied a sharp focus on what concretely NDCs provide in terms of explicit priorities, commitments and targets related to food and land use, and the extent they focus on action and implementation follow up in countries and across sectors. 




In a nutshell: How do NDCs address the needed action in food and land use?

 

Overall, the findings of our analysis are sobering: seven years after the Paris Agreement, countries still do not sufficiently and consistently include emissions from, and actions for, their food and land sectors. Many of the world’s largest emitters have yet to align their policy action with their actual emission profiles and consider especially the need for shifts toward sustainable diets and consumption, and to address food loss and waste. 


The updated analysis reveals an important pattern: Broad conventional areas related to agriculture and the environment, including oceans tend to be well covered. These include the adoption of climate smart agriculture with improved seeds and irrigation techniques, or the restoration of degraded land and aquatic ecosystems, as part of their mitigation and adaptation strategies. Examples include


  • Ethiopia’s ambitious mitigation targets for both the agriculture and land use, land-use change and forestry sectors, broken down into specific actions across different subsectors; 
  • The UK’s wide-ranging list of policies related to food and land systems, including practical emission reductions in food storage and distribution; 
  • Indonesia’s recently enhanced commitments related to forest management to reduce deforestation. 


At the same time, NDCs include significantly less coverage, priorities and concrete actions related to key demand-side aspects of the mitigation challenge in food and land use, including the need for dietary and consumption shifts in most developed economies that are associated with substantial emissions from agricultural commodities and land use change (especially deforestation), eg in the Amazon region. These spill-over effects from policies and actions in one country (or in the case of the EU, bloc of countries) on conditions and emissions in others, especially developing countries, are often overlooked or deliberately left aside. Similarly, only few G20 countries like China and Canada, acknowledge and propose measures to address food loss and waste within their borders – itself responsible in some countries for 10 percent or more of national emissions – leaving aside the high social, economic and environmental ‘costs’. 


Without focused attention to the direct and indirect effects of consumption levels and other demand-side factors, and the consideration of actual emission profiles as a basis for the setting of national and sectoral targets, food and land use related emissions will continue to increase. And without a substantial contribution of these sectors, net zero strategies and the Paris goal of averting or limiting catastrophic effects of climate change will remain out of reach. 


How much are current NDCs focused on action? Are they conducive to implementation and policy follow up ‘on the ground’? 


While most NDCs analysed in this year’s review broadly cover all relevant sectors related to food and land use, not all of them do indeed specify concrete measures – and even fewer are setting concrete (sectoral) targets. Other critical factors for the implementation and operationalisation of NDC commitments are also frequently kept vague or absent: references to the existing policy and governance contexts, to financing commitments and requirements for the necessary transitions and implementation, as well as to the necessary planning, coordination and other mechanisms needed to ensure effective operational follow up and continuous monitoring. 


Examples of NDCs that do provide specific commitments and information of direct relevance for national policy follow up include


  • Kenya’s NDC provides commitments in the context of existing and planned national policies alongside prioritized adaptation programmes, including for the restoration and conservation of degraded areas, the promotion of nature-based solutions for enterprises, as well as the development of commercial activities in forest areas. 
  • Ghana’s NDC provides a detailed funding needs for each of its 19 priority policy actions, including the funding for resilient agriculture and sustainable forest management.
  • Indonesia’s new NDC identifies the “integration of climate change into spatial planning” as a key principle; and 
  • Canada’s NDC mentions specific programme funds to develop new technologies in the agricultural sector.


One of the most immediate concerns from this updated analysis is the lack of concrete ambitious sectoral targets, both relative or nominal, in the NDCs of particular the world’s main emitting countries. In many of them, agriculture and land use change represent a significant share of national (incl historical) emissions – both in absolute terms and relative to overall emissions. Only few NDCs from the current set of G20 and additional FOLU countries do quantify their planned reduction of emissions from these sectors as part of the overall national mitigation commitment and target. Examples are Colombia and Japan, but other countries’ NDC lack specific targets eg for agriculture-related emissions or the reduction of food loss and waste. 


On the positive side: as confirmed also by other parallel studies, more countries than before now have dedicated sections focusing on adaptation and the particular urgency to invest in resilient agriculture and food systems. NDCs of developing countries – many of them justifiably not focusing on substantial mitigation action have seized on the opportunity of presenting adaptation plans including tentative investment and financing needs. 




How to both strengthen and move beyond NDCs with a focus on national implementation to transform food and land use?


While CP27 didn’t conclude on a strong call to all countries to ratchet up mitigation ambition across all sectors – some countries are known to be working on more ambitious NDCs. This includes the EU as well as a number of other G20 countries expected to both revise headline and sectoral targets, possibly extending also to food and land use on the basis of developments during the past 12-15 months (UN Food Systems Summit, IPCC reports, COP26 and COP27 sectoral initiatives related to forests, food and land use).


Critical elements of these updates should be those that directly facilitate (sub)national implementation follow up, as well as global level commitments of adaptation finance for developing countries to put in place practical measures for more resilient agriculture and food systems. This is particularly important in the current geopolitical context of expanding food prices and insecurity felt especially by countries in the global South. Aspects of international trade, supply chains and spill-over effects of developed-country demand and imports of food commodities are responsible for and a major driver of deforestation and GHG emissions in other countries, and thus need to shift more into the focus of national climate plans as reflected in NDCs.


Key take-aways for advancing food and land use transformation


  • NDCs cannot replace existing national processes and planning instruments but can play an important role in raising and signaling political ambition and commitment. Delivery of these commitments depends on national policy processes and institutional responsibilities for linking targets to policies, interventions, budget lines and technologies.
  • Going forward, countries need to identify and commit to the implementation costs of NDCs and the systemic transitions that decarbonization requires. For developing countries and donors alike, NDCs are already beginning to serve as platforms for mobilising external financing for both climate mitigation and adaptation.
  • Countries need to fully align near-term action and commitments for the current decade (as part of their NDCs toward 2030 targets) with longer-term strategies and pathways for reaching net zero by mid-century. Many countries still have to formulate or align their long-term strategies.
  • For both short and long term commitments and action plans, countries need to ensure the involvement of all relevant stakeholders, including from within the existing food and land use  systems, from consultations to policy dialogue, implementation planning and the continuous monitoring of implementation, policy coherence and impact.

 

What next?


For this decade, designated as a UN Decade of Action on the global goals, current NDCs from G20 and key developing countries provide a shaky basis at best. It is important that the lessons from this experience inform the design of future NDCs (due to the UN by 2025) to enhance, ratchet up and make up lost time, including by accelerating the transformation of food and land use globally. The ultimate achievement of the Paris Agenda for carbon neutrality by mid-century and the effective limitation of global warming to prevent the most catastrophic impacts of climate change will depend on countries to develop integrated national pathways that reflect their specific emission profiles and sequestration potentials. The role of AFOLU sectors in net zero pathways, and the respective policy choices countries are facing, are subject to related work under the FABLE Consortium (and a parallel FOLU publication, FABLE 2022).


While this analysis was limited to a detailed desk review of the original NDC documents and didn’t include any cross-checking with in-country experts on actual implementation, or even the general awareness of NDC content, the analysis is indicative of relative assignment of priorities in key countries. Aside from informing global level discussions at COP and other inter-governmental processes, the analysis also provides a foundation for discussions within countries to “localize” and integrate NDC commitments with mainstream national planning, budget and implementation frameworks.


NDC Analysis (High Res.) NDC Analysis (Printer Friendly)


Contact the FELD authors


Cecil Max Haverkamp

Emilie Perge

For more information, questions or other inquires, email us at info.feld@unsdsn.org


Visit the FELD Website!

Acknowledgments


SDSN and the FOLU Coalition are grateful to the following funders and collaborators supporting the work of the FELD Action Tracker: the UK Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office (FCDO), and Norway’s International Climate and Forest Initiative (NICFI); in addition, FELD received funding from the Ford Foundation (through the Climate and Land Use Alliance, CLUA), and the Robert Bosch Stiftung.

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QUALIFICATIONS, EDUCATION, AND EXPERIENCE An advanced University degree (Master’s or Ph.D) in economics, international studies, political science, business administration, industrial ecology, environmental science, or other relevant topic Experience working on sustainable development issues, preferably acquired in an international context Strong background in partnership development at the international level Experience in fundraising, managing donor relationships and preparing audit reports RELATED SKILLS Strong analytical, quantitative, and empirical research skills; and proven ability to link findings to public policy analysis and recommendations Proven ability to develop constructive relationships with key actors and networks in the area of environmental sustainability Diplomatic skills and ability to work in a team environment Knowledge of one statistical package, preferably STATA and/or R, would be a plus Fluency in English (both written and spoken) is required Professional capacity in French and other languages would be a plus IMPORTANT INFORMATION Location: Paris. The office has a hybrid model of work with 2-3 days at the office. Contract Length: CDD, 18 months (with possibility of conversion to a CDI). The selected candidate would start ideally by June 2024 or in September 2024. Salary Range: depending on experience. Benefits: SDSN offers generous leave allowances and flexible, hybrid work policy. SDSN team members are given the opportunity to follow some of the most thought-provoking discussions on sustainability. In their work, team members get the opportunity to meet and exchange with some of the world’s greatest leaders in sustainable development – professors, economists, bestselling authors, educators, and academics. With such unique exposure and environment, each member of SDSN can learn and grow while doing the work they love and contribute with a positive impact. Reports to: VP and Head of the Paris Office Work authorization: SDSN does not sponsor visas, and therefore applicants must have the right to work in France. SDSN IS AN EQUAL OPPORTUNITY EMPLOYER SDSN provides equal employment opportunities to all employees and applicants for employment without regard to unlawful considerations of race, color, creed, religion, gender, sex, national origin, ancestry, citizenship status, genetic information, military or veteran status, age, and physical or mental disability, or any other classification protected by applicable local, state, or federal laws. APPLICATION PROCESS To apply, please submit a cover letter , your CV and references on HR Partner . Application materials should be submitted in English preferably (but possible also to submit them in French). Deadline for applying: May 1st (Applications will be reviewed on a rolling basis) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- CONSEILLER/E STRATEGIQUE A PROPOS DE SDSN UN Sustainable Development Solutions Network (“SDSN”) opère depuis 2012 sous les auspices du Secrétaire Général de l'ONU. SDSN mobilise l'expertise scientifique et technologique mondiale afin de promouvoir des solutions pratiques pour le développement durable, notamment la mise en œuvre des Objectifs de Développement Durable (ODD) et de l'Accord de Paris sur le climat. Nous visons à accélérer l'apprentissage commun et à promouvoir des méthodes intégrées qui répondent aux défis économiques, sociaux et environnementaux interconnectés auxquels le monde est confronté. SDSN travaille en étroite collaboration avec les agences des Nations Unies, les institutions financières multilatérales, le secteur privé et la société civile. Il est dirigé par le professeur Jeffrey D. Sachs et fonctionne par l'intermédiaire de bureaux à New York, Paris et Kuala Lumpur. A PROPOS DU POSTE A POURVOIR Le bureau parisien du SDSN recherche un/e conseiller/conseillère stratégique expérimenté/e pour soutenir le développement de partenariats et les efforts de collecte de fonds. En étroite collaboration avec le Vice-Président - Chef du bureau de Paris, le/la conseiller/conseillère stratégique sera chargé/e de nouer des relations avec des partenaires au niveau mondial afin de faire progresser la mise en œuvre des ODD. Le/la conseiller/conseillère stratégique travaillera en étroite collaboration avec le réseau mondial d'institutions internationales, nationales et d'universités et centres de recherche de SDSN ainsi qu'avec d'autres partenaires. Le/la conseiller/conseillère stratégique contribuera également à soutenir les efforts du SDSN, en particulier ceux du Centre de transformation des ODD , dans le suivi des politiques relatives aux ODD au niveau national. Il/elle rendra compte directement au Vice-Président - Chef du bureau de Paris et travaillera en étroite collaboration avec la Directrice des Opérations & de la Gestion des Subventions. PRINCIPALES RESPONSABILITES Partenariats, collecte de fonds et suivi (50%) : Diriger et coordonner la stratégie de collecte de fonds du SDSN Paris, en collaboration avec le Vice-Président - Chef du bureau de Paris et les managers. Préparer des propositions de projets et approcher des partenaires potentiels, y compris des gouvernements, des philanthropes et des fondations. Représenter le SDSN Paris dans des réunions de haut niveau. Assurer la liaison avec les managers à Paris pour comprendre les besoins et les priorités stratégiques. Acquérir une connaissance transversale des échéances et des mécanismes d'établissement de rapports pour l'ensemble des projets. Contribuer à accroître la portée et la visibilité du travail du SDSN et en particulier du travail du SDG Transformation Center à l'échelle internationale. Contribuer au respect des exigences des donateurs, aux processus d'audit et à la gestion des subventions. Communication et sensibilisation (30 %) : Présenter le travail du SDSN lors de séminaires, d'ateliers et de tables rondes. En étroite collaboration avec la responsable de la communication du SDSN, diriger les efforts de communication pour le bureau de Paris du SDSN, en particulier les médias sociaux et le site web du SDG Transformation Center et de l’équipe FABLE. Aider à préparer les communiqués de presse et assurer la liaison avec les journalistes. Organiser la logistique et envoyer les invitations pour les événements de lancement de haut niveau. Travail analytique sur la politique et les données relatives aux ODD (20 %) : En collaboration avec l'équipe du réseau SDSN, préparer l'enquête annuelle et collecter des données sur les efforts et l'engagement des gouvernements en faveur des ODD. Développer le travail du SDSN sur les indicateurs de suivi des politiques pour les transformations clés des ODD, en particulier sur la localisation des ODD. En étroite collaboration avec l'équipe de l'indice SDG, explorer des moyens innovants d'exploiter les technologies géospatiales (GIS) pour suivre les progrès des SDG. Contribuer, le cas échéant, aux rapports et documents de travail phares du SDSN, notamment le rapport sur le développement durable et le Global Commons Stewardship Index (indice mondial de gestion des ressources communes). Effectuer toute autre tâche nécessaire. QUALIFICATIONS, FORMATION ET EXPERIENCE Diplôme universitaire supérieur (Master ou doctorat) en économie, études internationales, sciences politiques, administration des affaires, écologie industrielle, sciences de l'environnement ou autre sujet pertinent. Expérience de travail sur les questions de développement durable, acquise de préférence dans un contexte international. Solide expérience en matière de développement de partenariats au niveau international. Expérience de la collecte de fonds, de la gestion des relations avec les donateurs et de la préparation de rapports d'audit. COMPETENCES CONNEXES Solides compétences en matière d'analyse, de recherche quantitative et empirique ; et capacité avérée à relier les résultats à l'analyse et aux recommandations en matière de politique publique. Capacité avérée à développer des relations constructives avec des acteurs et des réseaux clés dans le domaine de la durabilité environnementale. Compétences diplomatiques et capacité à travailler en équipe. La connaissance d'un progiciel statistique, de préférence STATA et/ou R, serait un plus. La maîtrise de l'anglais (à l'écrit et à l'oral) est requise. Une capacité professionnelle en français et dans d'autres langues serait un plus. INFORMATION IMPORTANTE Lieu de travail: Paris. Le bureau suit un mode de travail hybride, avec une présence au bureau à raison de 2-3 jours par semaine. Durée du contrat: CDD, 18 mois (avec la possibilité d’une extension en CDI). Le/la candidat/e sélectionné/e commencera idéalement en juin 2024 ou en Septembre 2024. Avantages: SDSN offre des congés généreux et une politique de travail flexible et hybride. Les membres de l'équipe de SDSN ont la possibilité de suivre certaines discussions très recherchées sur le développement durable. Dans le cadre de leur travail, les membres de l'équipe ont l'occasion de rencontrer et d'échanger avec certains des plus grands leaders mondiaux en matière de développement durable - professeurs, économistes, auteurs de best-sellers et universitaires. En outre, l'équipe du SDSN est composée de professionnels du développement durable brillants et dynamiques, issus de pays et d'horizons différents. Grâce à cette exposition et à cet environnement uniques, chaque membre de SDSN peut apprendre et se développer tout en faisant le travail qu'il aime et en contribuant à un impact positif. Superviseur: Vice-Président et chef du bureau de Paris Permis de travail: SDSN ne sponsorise pas les visas, et par conséquent, les candidats doivent avoir un permis pour travailler en France. EGALITE DES CHANCES A L’EMPLOI SDSN est un employeur offrant l'égalité des chances et tous les candidats qualifiés seront considérés de la même manière. PROCESSUS DE CANDIDATURE Pour postuler, veuillez soumettre un CV , une lettre de motivation et les coordonnées de référence à HR PARTNER jusqu’au 1 May 2024 . (Les candidatures seront examinées au fur et à mesure.) Les dossiers de candidature doivent être soumis en anglais de préférence (mais il est également possible de les soumettre en français)
By SDSN Secretariat 01 Apr, 2024
Welcome to SDSN's Month Year Newsletter!
By Info 01 Apr, 2024
The SDSN has launched an 'Employee Spotlight Campaign' to showcase the passion and expertise of our staff.
By SDSN Kenya 28 Mar, 2024
On 25 March 2024, SDSN Kenya joined WRI Africa and other Kenyan partner organizations in co-hosting an interactive workshop and debate format entitled: ‘Carbon Markets: Which Way for Kenya? A Carbon Markets Clinic and Debate’. The full-day event was hosted at Strathmore University in Nairobi, a local SDSN network member institution, ahead of an official Carbon Markets Conference organized by the Kenyan government on 26-27 March. Close to 200 participants were in attendance with leading experts and practitioners from the Nairobi Climate Network, Aspen Initiative, Green Belt Movement, Climate Action Platform-Africa (CAP-A), as well as community and civil society leaders throughout Kenya. In addition to bringing in Kenyan climate and development researchers from the SDSN Kenya network , we were able to facilitate the active involvement of Kenyan ‘carbon’ farmers through contacts of the SDSN FELD (Food, Environment, Land and Development) Programme. These farmers are members of the vast TIST network that links more than 100,000 Kenyan farmers across 5,000 villages with regular payments from global carbon markets for more than a decade. A representative of TIST actively joined the discussion panel to present on the everyday experience of her fellow farmers with already existing carbon market mechanisms – an important practical contribution on what unfortunately is often a controversial, polarized, and abstract issue in Kenyan development discussions. To stimulate vivid debate, expert-led clinic sessions that explained key issues in carbon markets were followed by an Oxford-style debate in the late afternoon. Key issues raised during the event include: Carbon credits and their role in the pursuit of climate commitments under the Paris Agreement to reach “Net Zero”; Carbon pricing mechanisms and controversies around them; Carbon trading transaction costs and project finance; Land ownership and its implications for carbon markets; Inclusivity, benefits sharing, and community safeguarding; Current concerns around integrity, transparency, and the pervasiveness of corporate greenwashing; and Kenya’s legal and policy provisions regulating carbon trading, and their effectiveness. Carbon markets continue to garner significant interest in Kenya, where the government is currently developing a ‘Carbon Credit Trading and Benefit Sharing Bill’. This full day of civil society and expert-led discussions with stakeholders from across the spectrum in Kenya demonstrated both the demand and the importance of bringing complex development and financing issues to a broader audience, alongside government meetings. SDSN is grateful to its partners in Kenya, especially WRI Africa and the FOLU Coalition Kenya Platform, and its funders at the Robert Bosch Stiftung for their support and partnership.
By Science Panel for the Amazon 27 Mar, 2024
The Amazon, the world's largest rainforest and river basin, faces urgent environmental challenges such as deforestation, degradation, and criminality. In response, the Science Panel for the Amazon (SPA) is taking an important step to foster a better understanding of these threats and their impacts to promote participation in developing solutions. In collaboration with the SDG Academy, the World Wildlife Fund (WWF), and the World Bank (WB), and with financial support from the Global Environment Facility (GEF), today, the SPA launched its groundbreaking massive open online course (MOOC), "The Living Amazon: Science, Cultures, and Sustainability in Practice."
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